{"id":458,"date":"2026-05-11T10:15:46","date_gmt":"2026-05-11T10:15:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/?p=458"},"modified":"2026-05-11T10:15:46","modified_gmt":"2026-05-11T10:15:46","slug":"hurmuzde-sessiz-savas-masada-eksik-baris-israil-kismi-anlasma-korkusuyla-alarmda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/?p=458","title":{"rendered":"H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de Sessiz Sava\u015f, Masada Eksik Bar\u0131\u015f: \u0130srail \u201cK\u0131smi Anla\u015fma\u201d Korkusuyla Alarmda!"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda iki ay\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcren s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan diplomasi trafi\u011fi h\u0131z kazand\u0131. Washington, Tahran\u2019\u0131n son anla\u015fma tasla\u011f\u0131na verece\u011fi yan\u0131t\u0131 beklerken, Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump \u201c\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n cevab\u0131 \u00e7ok yak\u0131nda gelecek ve Tahran h\u00e2l\u00e2 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde anla\u015fma istiyor\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 yapt\u0131. Ancak sahadaki ger\u00e7eklik, masadaki iyimser beklentilerden \u00e7ok daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresinde ya\u015fanan g\u00f6receli sakinlik, asl\u0131nda derin bir krizin \u00fcst\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6rt\u00fcyor ve ate\u015fkesin ne kadar narin oldu\u011funu g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne seriyor.\"\"<\/p>\n

H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda bug\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla ciddi bir askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ya\u015fanmad\u0131. Ancak bu sessizlik, \u00f6nceki g\u00fcnlerdeki da\u011f\u0131n\u0131k sald\u0131r\u0131lar ve deniz hatt\u0131ndaki gerilimin hemen ard\u0131ndan geldi. D\u00fcnya petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi bu stratejik su yolu, art\u0131k yaln\u0131zca enerji nakliyat\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fil, Washington-Tahran krizinin de en kritik cephesi haline geldi. \u0130ran, sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri \u0130ran d\u0131\u015f\u0131 gemilerin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc fiilen engelledi. Bu durum k\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131nda ciddi bask\u0131 olu\u015ftururken, \u00f6zellikle Avrupa ve Asya ekonomilerinde enerji arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi endi\u015fesini zirveye ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD y\u00f6netimi, \u0130ran\u2019a sundu\u011fu son teklifi \u201ckapsaml\u0131 bar\u0131\u015f\u201d yerine \u201cge\u00e7ici ve s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7eve mutabakat\u0131\u201d olarak tasarlad\u0131. Plana g\u00f6re s\u00fcre\u00e7 \u00fc\u00e7 a\u015famada ilerleyecek: \u0130lk a\u015famada sava\u015f\u0131n resmen sona erdirilmesi, ikinci a\u015famada H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki ge\u00e7i\u015flerin yeniden g\u00fcvence alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131 ve Amerikan deniz ambargosunun kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc a\u015famada ise 30 g\u00fcnl\u00fck yo\u011fun m\u00fczakere penceresi a\u00e7\u0131larak \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131, balistik f\u00fcze kapasitesi ve b\u00f6lgesel etkisi gibi en kritik ba\u015fl\u0131klar masaya yat\u0131r\u0131lacak.\"\"<\/p>\n

Tahran ise hen\u00fcz bu tasla\u011fa resmi yan\u0131t vermedi. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n temel beklentisi, sava\u015f\u0131n yaln\u0131zca durdurulmas\u0131 de\u011fil, tamamen sona erdirildi\u011finin ilan edilmesi ve Amerikan ambargosunun kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131. Tahran, aksi takdirde kapsaml\u0131 tavizler vermeye yana\u015fmayaca\u011f\u0131 mesaj\u0131n\u0131 net bir \u015fekilde veriyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130srail Alarmda: K\u0131smi Anla\u015fma En K\u00f6t\u00fc Senaryo\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

Krizin en dikkat \u00e7eken boyutlar\u0131ndan biri \u0130srail\u2019in artan endi\u015fesi. Tel Aviv\u2019deki \u00fcst d\u00fczey g\u00fcvenlik \u00e7evreleri, Washington ile Tahran aras\u0131nda yap\u0131labilecek s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ya da ge\u00e7ici bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 \u201cen k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryo\u201d olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor. \u0130srail\u2019e g\u00f6re b\u00f6yle bir mutabakat, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer kapasitesini ortadan kald\u0131rmayacak, zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f uranyum stoklar\u0131n\u0131 \u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131karmayacak ve Tahran\u2019\u0131n gelecekte yeniden uranyum zenginle\u015ftirmesini engellemeyecek.<\/p>\n

\u0130srail\u2019in kayg\u0131s\u0131 yaln\u0131zca n\u00fckleer dosyayla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fil. Tel Aviv, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n balistik f\u00fcze kapasitesinin ve b\u00f6lgesel vekil g\u00fc\u00e7lerine verdi\u011fi deste\u011fin de yeterince s\u0131n\u0131rlanmayaca\u011f\u0131ndan endi\u015fe ediyor. Netanyahu\u2019ya Trump taraf\u0131ndan \u201czenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f uranyum konusunda taviz verilmeyece\u011fi\u201d y\u00f6n\u00fcnde g\u00fcvence verilse de, \u0130srail y\u00f6netimi bu g\u00fcvenceyi yetersiz buluyor ve b\u00fct\u00fcn senaryolara kar\u015f\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131k yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Avrupa ve \u00c7in de Endi\u015feli\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130ngiltere ve Fransa\u2019n\u0131n da krize dahil olmas\u0131, meselenin art\u0131k yaln\u0131zca ABD-\u0130ran hatt\u0131nda kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Londra, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda ge\u00e7i\u015f g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flamak amac\u0131yla b\u00f6lgeye sava\u015f gemisi g\u00f6ndermeye haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere ve Fransa\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 plan, bo\u011fazda \u00e7ok uluslu bir g\u00fcvenlik misyonu kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 hedefliyor. Avrupa, Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131yla zaten a\u011f\u0131r bedel \u00f6dedi\u011fi enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fi konusunda yeni bir \u015fok ya\u015famak istemiyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in ise enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 hayati \u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Pekin, krizin uzamas\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel ticaret ve enerji dengelerini olumsuz etkileyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Trump\u2019\u0131n bu hafta \u00c7in\u2019e yapmas\u0131 beklenen ziyaret \u00f6ncesi Washington \u00fczerindeki diplomatik bask\u0131 da giderek art\u0131yor.\"\"<\/p>\n

Masada G\u00fcven Eksik, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de K\u0131r\u0131lgan S\u00fck\u00fbnet<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc tablonun en belirgin \u00f6zelli\u011fi, taraflar\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek istememelerine ra\u011fmen birbirlerine g\u00fcvenmemeleri. ABD, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fcc\u00fc konusunda kal\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fcvence istiyor. \u0130ran, sava\u015f\u0131n resmen bitirilmesini ve ambargonun kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6n \u015fart olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. \u0130srail ise \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 tamamen tasfiye etmeyen hi\u00e7bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 g\u00fcvenli bulmuyor.<\/p>\n

H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda ya\u015fanan g\u00f6receli s\u00fck\u00fbnet, krizin sona erdi\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelmiyor. Aksine diplomasi masas\u0131ndaki her ba\u015fl\u0131k, sahadaki her askeri temas ve enerji piyasalar\u0131ndaki her dalgalanma, krizin \u00e7ok daha geni\u015f bir b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel boyuta ta\u015f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\"\"<\/p>\n

Washington Tahran\u2019\u0131n yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Tahran sava\u015f\u0131n tamamen sona ermesini ve ambargonun kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor. \u0130srail k\u0131smi anla\u015fmadan korkuyor. Avrupa ge\u00e7i\u015f g\u00fcvenli\u011fi i\u00e7in sava\u015f gemisi haz\u0131rl\u0131yor. \u00c7in enerji hatt\u0131n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131ndan endi\u015fe ediyor. D\u00fcnya ise H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019deki sessizli\u011fin ger\u00e7ek bir bar\u0131\u015f m\u0131, yoksa yeni bir f\u0131rt\u0131na \u00f6ncesi k\u0131sa bir ara m\u0131 oldu\u011funu anlamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Geli\u015fmeler yak\u0131ndan takip ediliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda iki ay\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcren s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan diplomasi trafi\u011fi h\u0131z kazand\u0131. Washington, Tahran\u2019\u0131n son anla\u015fma tasla\u011f\u0131na verece\u011fi yan\u0131t\u0131 beklerken, Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump \u201c\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n cevab\u0131 \u00e7ok yak\u0131nda gelecek ve Tahran h\u00e2l\u00e2 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde anla\u015fma istiyor\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 yapt\u0131. Ancak sahadaki ger\u00e7eklik, masadaki iyimser beklentilerden \u00e7ok daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresinde ya\u015fanan g\u00f6receli […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":461,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-458","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/458","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=458"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/458\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":464,"href":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/458\/revisions\/464"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/461"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=458"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=458"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newcarsz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=458"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}